Projects and Writing
Selected Projects:
PRISM: NBA Draft Model
Silver Bulletin · Basketball Analytics and Modeling
NBA Draft Model with role projections, trajectories, and volatility scores.
ELWAY: Team Projection Model
Silver Bulletin · Football Analytics and Modeling
Quarterback-adjusted NFL Elo system rebuilt for Silver Bulletin, incorporating QB VALUE ratings,
injury simulations, and reproducible pipelines for weekly forecasts.
QBERT: Quarterback Rating Model
Silver Bulletin · Football Analytics and Modeling
Quarterback performance model built on play-by-play data, incorporating dropback context,
opponent strength, and stability adjustments to evaluate QB impact over time.
Player tracking system
The Zone Master · Basketball Analytics and Modeling
Homography-based player tracking pipeline that aligns broadcast footage with court coordinates,
enabling spatial analysis for defensive versatility and hustle metrics.
HUSTLE index
The Zone Master · Basketball Analytics and Modeling
Composite effort metric that uses tracking and event data to capture closeouts, contests,
deflections, dives, and other non-box-score actions that shape defensive impact.
You’re probably not popular (and why)
The Zone Master · Social Sciences
A social-network and Friendship Paradox–inspired essay on why most people feel less popular than
their peers, and what that implies for how communities form.
Selected Writing:
Can Wemby make the MVP leap?
Silver Bulletin · NBA · 2025
Uses historical third-year comps, shot profile changes, team context, and Shot Quality RAPM to gauge whether Victor
Wembanyama can jump directly into the heart of the MVP race.
Keep Houston weird
Silver Bulletin · NBA · 2025
On how the Rockets’ strange mix of offensive rebounding, jumbo lineups, and spacing turned a quirky,
experimental roster into a serious contender.
2026 NBA Draft notes, Vol. 1: the big three
The Zone Master · NBA Draft
Kicks off the 2026 draft cycle with deep dives on the three early headliners of the class, blending
film, role projections, and statistical indicators.
Ace Bailey and how to assess processing
The Zone Master · NBA Draft
Uses Ace Bailey as a case study for what “processing speed” actually means on the floor and how to
separate aesthetic flair from real decision-making.
So what is Cooper Flagg?
The Zone Master · NBA Draft
Profiles Cooper Flagg’s two-way ceiling, detailing his defensive range, shooting trajectory, and how
teams should think about building around his archetype.
Derik Queen, Danny Wolf, and the modern big
The Zone Master · NBA Draft
Examines how skilled, less traditional bigs like Derik Queen and Danny Wolf fit into modern
defensive schemes and spacing-constrained offenses.
Rebounding thresholds & offensive investment
The Zone Master · Basketball Theory
Uses lineup data to study when it’s worth sending extra bodies to the offensive glass and when those
resources are better spent on transition defense.
Principles: LaMelo Ball and Sports Clichés
The Zone Master · Basketball Theory
A more philosophical piece about how principles, not just rules, guide decision-making in basketball,
using LaMelo Ball as a lens on creativity and structure.
Analytical mailbag: Paolo’s plus-minus
The Zone Master · Basketball Theory
Digs into why Paolo Banchero’s on/off numbers look the way they do, and what lineup context and
defensive infrastructure mean for star-led offenses.
Analytical Thinking and Amir Johnson
The Zone Master · Basketball Theory
A longform article on convenience, screening gravity, and much more. My favorite piece!
The “No-Stats All-Star” vs. Charles Barkley
The Zone Master · Basketball Theory
Reflects on the Shane Battier discourse, Charles Barkley’s skepticism, and what the whole debate
says about how analytics is (and isn’t) understood.
Rookie Contract Extension Model
Basketball · 2025
Regression model that predicts rookie contract extension salary based on performance indicators.